| Team | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | +2.82 | -2.82 |
| Akron | +0.10 | -2.71 |
| Alabama | +1.12 | -1.34 |
| Appalachian State | +0.60 | -1.00 |
| Arizona | +5.02 | -3.85 |
| Arizona State | +5.04 | -4.80 |
| Arkansas | +2.41 | -3.21 |
| Arkansas State | +4.21 | -5.19 |
| Army | +0.76 | -0.92 |
| Auburn | +3.58 | -2.69 |
| Ball State | +2.43 | -2.20 |
| Baylor | +3.06 | -3.97 |
| Boise State | +3.64 | -1.46 |
| Boston College | +1.47 | -2.32 |
| Bowling Green | +0.37 | -0.59 |
| Brigham Young | +1.98 | -2.81 |
| Buffalo | +3.33 | -3.83 |
| California | +3.20 | -2.74 |
| Central Florida | +3.92 | -3.84 |
| Central Michigan | +1.97 | -2.38 |
| Charlotte | +0.45 | -0.57 |
| Cincinnati | +5.13 | -2.67 |
| Clemson | +2.90 | -2.67 |
| Coastal Carolina | -0.47 | -0.62 |
| Colorado | +4.82 | -5.98 |
| Colorado State | +3.39 | -1.99 |
| Connecticut | +3.11 | -3.61 |
| Duke | -0.06 | -1.69 |
| East Carolina | +2.79 | -4.66 |
| Eastern Michigan | +0.44 | -1.81 |
| Florida | +3.69 | -2.97 |
| Florida Atlantic | +2.85 | -2.57 |
| Florida International | +2.11 | -2.09 |
| Florida State | +2.56 | -2.44 |
| Fresno State | +3.34 | -2.49 |
| Georgia | +3.47 | -0.33 |
| Georgia Southern | +5.91 | -4.50 |
| Georgia State | -1.78 | +0.47 |
| Georgia Tech | +1.44 | -1.71 |
| Hawaii | +3.35 | -4.98 |
| Houston | +4.53 | -3.11 |
| Illinois | +1.76 | -1.80 |
| Indiana | +2.32 | -4.04 |
| Iowa | +3.30 | -2.85 |
| Iowa State | +3.89 | -3.73 |
| Jacksonville State | +3.26 | -1.81 |
| James Madison | +5.08 | +2.76 |
| Kansas | +3.79 | -4.91 |
| Kansas State | +4.68 | -3.35 |
| Kennesaw State | +2.83 | -2.75 |
| Kent State | +2.27 | -3.01 |
| Kentucky | +2.32 | -2.82 |
| Liberty | +1.93 | -0.97 |
| Louisiana | +1.78 | -2.67 |
| Louisiana State | +3.20 | -2.62 |
| Louisiana Tech | +4.36 | -4.80 |
| Louisville | +3.58 | -3.02 |
| Marshall | +3.66 | -3.57 |
| Maryland | +2.79 | -2.85 |
| Massachusetts | +1.42 | -3.39 |
| Memphis | +2.56 | -2.84 |
| Miami (FL) | +2.44 | -1.53 |
| Miami (OH) | +2.55 | -2.43 |
| Michigan | +3.94 | -1.48 |
| Michigan State | +2.86 | -2.58 |
| Middle Tennessee | +4.62 | -3.52 |
| Minnesota | +3.43 | -3.00 |
| Mississippi | +3.40 | -4.09 |
| Mississippi State | +3.17 | -3.17 |
| Missouri | +3.54 | -2.96 |
| Navy | +0.32 | -0.60 |
| Nebraska | +3.67 | -2.84 |
| Nevada | +4.20 | -3.85 |
| New Mexico | +1.66 | -3.44 |
| New Mexico State | +2.16 | -3.91 |
| North Carolina | +3.27 | -3.04 |
| North Carolina State | +2.12 | -3.78 |
| North Texas | +4.56 | -3.93 |
| Northern Illinois | +2.60 | -1.64 |
| Northwestern | +0.14 | -2.06 |
| Notre Dame | +2.35 | -2.06 |
| Ohio | +3.45 | -2.95 |
| Ohio State | +3.15 | -2.07 |
| Oklahoma | +5.30 | -2.53 |
| Oklahoma State | +4.33 | -4.00 |
| Old Dominion | +1.49 | -1.93 |
| Oregon | +3.05 | -1.30 |
| Oregon State | +3.68 | -4.02 |
| Penn State | +3.20 | -3.02 |
| Pittsburgh | +2.27 | -0.65 |
| Purdue | +2.45 | -0.75 |
| Rice | +2.15 | -3.30 |
| Rutgers | +1.61 | -3.50 |
| Sam Houston | +1.67 | +0.81 |
| San Diego State | +1.23 | -2.61 |
| San Jose State | +3.41 | -4.14 |
| South Alabama | +4.71 | -2.25 |
| South Carolina | +3.69 | -2.80 |
| South Florida | +3.03 | -2.47 |
| Southern California | +3.70 | -2.11 |
| Southern Methodist | +3.74 | -4.79 |
| Southern Mississippi | +2.36 | -3.01 |
| Stanford | +1.51 | -3.33 |
| Syracuse | +3.07 | -3.54 |
| Temple | +1.61 | -2.30 |
| Tennessee | +2.39 | -3.05 |
| Texas | +3.18 | -1.21 |
| Texas A&M | +4.30 | -3.20 |
| Texas Christian | +5.00 | -2.97 |
| Texas State | +3.05 | -3.99 |
| Texas Tech | +4.07 | -5.34 |
| Toledo | +3.56 | -4.17 |
| Troy | +1.77 | -3.05 |
| Tulane | +2.58 | -3.12 |
| Tulsa | +2.31 | -3.18 |
| UAB | +3.79 | -4.25 |
| UCLA | +3.08 | -2.60 |
| ULM | +1.93 | -2.57 |
| UNLV | +2.33 | -4.36 |
| Utah | +4.38 | -2.28 |
| Utah State | +2.01 | -2.72 |
| UTEP | +3.81 | -3.90 |
| UTSA | +2.00 | -2.11 |
| Vanderbilt | +1.84 | -1.32 |
| Virginia | +3.01 | -3.13 |
| Virginia Tech | +3.09 | -2.29 |
| Wake Forest | +2.05 | -2.02 |
| Washington | +2.88 | -4.76 |
| Washington State | +3.48 | -2.44 |
| West Virginia | +3.98 | -2.97 |
| Western Kentucky | +2.27 | -1.81 |
| Western Michigan | +1.67 | -2.44 |
| Wisconsin | +2.87 | -2.47 |
| Wyoming | +3.26 | -4.27 |
The Home Venue Factor (HVF) and Away Venue Factor (AVF), along with Power Ratings, are used to predict game margins.
The factors were created by comparing season final Jeff Sagarin Predictor power ratings retroactively to game scores from the season just completed.
For example, Nebraska won at Illinois 42-38 in 2019. In the 2019 season final ratings, Nebraska was 73.92 and Illinois was 67.35. Therefore, Nebraska would have been expected to beat Illinois on a neutral field by 7 points (6.57). Nebraska won by 4, so +2.57 (6.57-4) was applied to the Illinois HVF and -2.57 was applied to the Nebraska AVF.
The factors were calculated using ratings and scores from 2001-2023. Games at neutral sites were (of course) excluded. Games versus FCS teams were excluded. Overtime games were treated as ties.
You may notice a few negative HVFs and a few positive AVFs. Remember, these outcomes are relative to the power ratings, so while you may think that a particular HVF is too low (for example), it can be equally argued that the ratings are too high.