CFB Model by Dunham


Preseason Power

Measured against the average of the final Massey Power and Sagarin Predictor rankings:


2021 Final


1 1944CFB Model by Dunham
2 772021ESPN SP+
3 952039Team Rankings
41882132Athlon Sports
52272171College Football News
62662210Phil Steele
72872231McIllece Sports
82962240ESPN FPI
94512395Pro Football Focus
104812425Lindy's Sports

Preseason Conference

2013-2017 Cumulative   (MBD was known then as Cap Heresy.)


No predictions were made in 2018-2020.


The 2021 victory margin of 18 by MBD is the all-time (1993-2021) greatest.
The previous greatest was 13 by The Sporting News in 2002.

2021 Final



All Games

MBD was not tracked in the 2021 season.
An in-season re-rating algorithm is being designed for 2022 and beyond.

2021 Final Straight Up

2021 Final Against The Spread



Confidence Contest

MBD did not complete the 2021 season.
It became obvious that preseason ratings would not stay competitive.
An in-season re-rating algorithm is being designed for 2022 and beyond.

2021 Final